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Volatility

By botastiac
12/27/2016 7:09 pm
I am confused with this volatility thing. Is this player a bust or the opposite?? Chi Younghttps://cust18.myfootballnow.com/player/5960

Re: Volatility

By CrazyRazor
12/27/2016 7:13 pm
You will not know until the Training Camp cycles in 4hrs.
Last edited at 12/27/2016 7:13 pm

Re: Volatility

By botastiac
12/27/2016 7:21 pm
I mean his volatility rating... is it good or bad to be at 100?

Re: Volatility

By punisher
12/27/2016 7:26 pm
botastiac wrote:
I mean his volatility rating... is it good or bad to be at 100?


either it will be good (he will pan out and meet all his ratings) or it will be bad (he will bust hard and his ratings will go down )

Re: Volatility

By parsh
12/27/2016 7:28 pm
Bad from the standpoint he has nowhere to go but down (I have him maxed future rating at 100).. He could may just solidify at 100. But chances are he will drop.

Re: Volatility

By CrazyRazor
12/27/2016 7:39 pm
The lower the volatility, the less likely they will bust. Also less likely they will boom. They typically stay close to projected potential.

Re: Volatility

By setherick
12/27/2016 9:07 pm
botastiac wrote:
I am confused with this volatility thing. Is this player a bust or the opposite?? Chi Younghttps://cust18.myfootballnow.com/player/5960


Uh, guys, you missed an important fact. The player has been through one camp already and did not bust. That means he WON'T bust this year since progression good or bad is consistent until a player hits the 8-10 mark and their skills start to degrade. In other words, booming players will continue to boom (although at decreasing rates) for the first three seasons or so while busting players will continue to bust for the first three seasons for so. This is why you NEVER trade a booming player at value or less than value if the player is in his first or second year. It's also the prime time when I start hunting for those players for trades...

Re: Volatility

By parsh
12/27/2016 10:47 pm
I didn't look at his experience.. Sorry for my post.. Lol

Re: Volatility

By CrazyRazor
12/28/2016 1:12 am
And I haven't been around long enough to know that. I just learned something! :D
Last edited at 12/28/2016 1:15 am

Re: Volatility

By raymattison21
12/28/2016 12:04 pm
botastiac wrote:
I am confused with this volatility thing. Is this player a bust or the opposite?? Chi Younghttps://cust18.myfootballnow.com/player/5960


Chi is a boom....probably one of the most confusing parts to understand , but explained like this...

You drafted him at RT. He was pregenerated with a weight that was more friendly to overall at that position .. . Switching him to LT made him a bit heavy for the generic weighting system that values the weight (in pounds) and calculates it affecting the score of his overall.

In other words he was light at RT when drafted changed to LT where he was heavy then in the latest camp he lost even more weight to be light a LT. He will most likely stay around this weight as he stays at LT.

What you are seeing is a 100 rated 100 volatility booming combined with positions changes. If you put him at guard his overall rating would fluctuate right along with weight fluctuations that come along with position changes.

You have a 1/3 chance of booming , busting, or staying the same....the big difference visually is a high rated player has more room to go down and a low overall is just the opposite . ...only because they are the extremes of the scale.

You got very lucky with that pick....imo.. a 100 rated player with 0 volatility is the safer pick, but by no means a better pick.

Before volatility was shown jdb said the further a player had to go (red/blue bars) the more likely he would boom or bust. I found that very useful then and now in who to pick.